$10,000
No-Limit Hold'em Championship, Day Four:
"Think
About It"
By Andrew N.S. Glazer
When the 45 players who had started Day Four of the 33rd
Annual World Series of Poker had eliminated 35 of their brethren,
we had two five player tables left, and one more play to eliminate
before the final nine could go try to get some sleep and ready themselves
for The Final Battle.
Co-Tournament Director Matt Savage, who has offered the spectators
considerable helpful commentary throughout the month, and who has
never been afraid to poke a little fun at those he thinks can take
it, was handling the microphone duties at this extremely tense time
and told both the crowd and the players "By this time tomorrow, one
of these players is going to be $2,000,000 richer. Think about it."
The crowd, which had grandstands set up on one side but which ringed
the tables on all sides, cracked up as they realized Savage hadn't
been able to resist putting just a LITTLE more pressure on the final
ten. He probably helped break a little tension with the remark too,
depending on who you were and what kind of pressure you were feeling,
but I think everyone at the tables, whether they wanted to or not,
succumbed to Savage's suggestion and "thought about it" at least briefly.
There's nothing quite like fantasizing about a life-changing event
to focus the mind.
Before I tell you the final ten, lets go back to the beginning, and
see who started the day where and owning what, because the chip equities
swung rapidly through the early action.
Place
|
Name
|
Chips
|
Table
|
Seat
|
1
|
Varkonyi, Bob
|
$551,500
|
51
|
6
|
2
|
D, Tony
|
$464,500
|
62
|
4
|
3
|
Shipley, John
|
$446,000
|
42
|
9
|
4
|
Ly, Minh Thoialy
|
$281,500
|
45
|
4
|
5
|
Holum, Eric
|
$275,000
|
42
|
1
|
6
|
Gardner, Julian
|
$274,000
|
62
|
2
|
7
|
Perry, Rafael
|
$272,000
|
45
|
5
|
8
|
Gray, Peter
|
$236,500
|
42
|
6
|
9
|
Lane, Jason
|
$218,000
|
56
|
7
|
10
|
Barton, Don
|
$170,000
|
56
|
8
|
11
|
Nasseri, Amir
|
$168,000
|
56
|
5
|
12
|
Feter, Michael
|
$157,500
|
42
|
4
|
13
|
Mullin, Owen
|
$154,000
|
42
|
8
|
14
|
Neely, James
|
$154,000
|
62
|
8
|
15
|
Stockinger, Sigi
|
$152,500
|
51
|
1
|
16
|
Rubin, David
|
$143,500
|
45
|
3
|
17
|
Crunkleton, Dave
|
$139,500
|
56
|
1
|
18
|
Deknijff, Martin
|
$129,500
|
42
|
2
|
19
|
January, Ray
|
$124,000
|
62
|
6
|
20
|
Ko, Bernard
|
$118,000
|
62
|
7
|
21
|
Nguyen, Minh
|
$112,500
|
56
|
6
|
22
|
Sai, Rameen
|
$102,500
|
51
|
7
|
23
|
Zalewski, Herschel
|
$100,500
|
45
|
7
|
24
|
Boatman, Ross
|
$100,000
|
62
|
1
|
25
|
Fox, Jack
|
$96,500
|
45
|
2
|
26
|
Booth, Douglas
|
$89,500
|
56
|
2
|
27
|
Paseka, Kurt
|
$88,500
|
62
|
3
|
28
|
Haveson, Brian
|
$85,500
|
42
|
3
|
29
|
Rosenblum, Russell
|
$83,500
|
62
|
9
|
30
|
Phu, Luan
|
$81,500
|
51
|
2
|
31
|
Amos, Scott
|
$79,000
|
45
|
9
|
32
|
Whitt, Samuel
|
$77,000
|
42
|
7
|
33
|
Holland, Randy
|
$68,000
|
62
|
5
|
34
|
Alston, Greg
|
$64,500
|
45
|
6
|
35
|
Giordino, Peter
|
$63,000
|
42
|
5
|
36
|
Melton, Steve
|
$62,000
|
51
|
4
|
37
|
Ivey, Phillip
|
$59,000
|
56
|
3
|
38
|
Wilkinson, Lamar
|
$51,500
|
56
|
9
|
39
|
Wilsdon, Stephen
|
$50,000
|
45
|
1
|
40
|
Hall, Harley
|
$37,500
|
51
|
9
|
41
|
McDonald, Tristan
|
$37,500
|
51
|
3
|
42
|
Heimiller, Dan
|
$32,500
|
51
|
5
|
43
|
Schneider, Tom
|
$27,500
|
56
|
4
|
44
|
Nakano, Yosh
|
$21,000
|
45
|
8
|
45
|
Sklansky, David
|
$9,500
|
51
|
8
|
SOME PRELIMINARY HELP FOR ANDY
I know we did this yesterday, but some of you cheated by voting more
than once, and a bunch more of you probably put the 15 second task
aside, planning on getting back to it later. Please do me a favor
and take the 15 seconds now, and play by the rules and vote in only
one category. Normally, after the World Series ends, Wednesday
Nite Poker reverts to being an instructional, bi-weekly newsletter.
A number of people requested varying kinds of World Series information
aside from type and variety I usually include about final tables.
In the week or two following the WSOP, I plan to put one or more special
pieces together about some of the other atmosphere and flavor of the
WSOP, and I'd like my readers to tell me what they want.
If you'd like to see a piece describing the high stakes side
action, click on pokerpundit@aol.com,
and just write "high stakes action" in the subject line.
If you'd like to see a piece describing all of the side action
as well as the constant flow of satellites and supersatellites,
click AndrewNSGlazer@aol.com
and just write "all side action" in the subject line.
If you'd like to see a special interview with the Champion, click
andyglazer@aol.com, and just
write "interview champ" in the subject line.
You can, if you want, include other information in the body of the
email explaining what else you want to see in WNP over the next few
months, I'll do my best to follow as many of your suggestions as possible.
THE EARLY ACTION
Yesterday I didn't play it safe and picked a final table that included
an unusual number of then-short chipped players. To review, my picks
were Gardner, D, Ivey, Fox, Shipley, Perry, Crunkleton, Boatman
and Holland. Let's see how I (and they) did.
I'm not going to fib to you: Day Four is grueling, and I also figured
to lose my dinner break to cover the Hellmuth-Chan Bracelet Winners
Tournament Finals (I did, too: there's a separate story about that
after this article), so I skipped the first couple of hours, figuring
we'd lose some short stacks and knowing that the article couldn't
possibly include the details on the elimination of every player.
I arrived just after the first nine players had busted out, and the
only real surprises there were that Jason Lane, who'd started the
day in ninth place with $218,000, was already gone, as was Hertzel
Zaleweski. Sometimes players who have reached the money decide they
really want to go for the gold and make bold plays to reach the final
table, but you can't make the final table if you don't make the fourth
table, and sometimes players take this laudable goal a bit too far
in the early going.
BOATMAN SINKS SOONER THAN PREDICTED
On the first hand I watched, I saw one of the players I'd picked to
get to the finals, Ross Boatman, get the last few chips of a short
stack into a four-way pot with the all-in Luan Phu, Yosh Nakano (who'd
started the day 44th but who had moved up early, and Steve
Melton. Phu was all-in before the flop, which came down Qd-6c-2d,
and the other three players checked. The 8d hit the turn, and Boatman
shoved his last 23k in, with Nakano playing along for the side pot,
but Melton yielding. With no more action possible, we saw that the
hands were
Phu, A-Q
Nakano, 10-10
Boatman, 7-8
The river changed nothing, and Phu's top pair survived, while Nakano
wound up making a small profit off eliminating Boatman.
Almost immediately thereafter, Eric Holum, who'd started the day in
5th place with $275,000 (and who was only one of five players
out of the final 45 who had won a WSOP bracelet in his career), busted
out when his few remaining chips and K-Q couldn't survive a three-way
battle with Day Three Chip Leader Bob Varkonyi (K-10) and another
big stack, John Shipley, who each checked as the board came down A-10-9-9-7.
Somehow, Holum was 33rd, while Nakano, who'd started the
day owning less than 8% of Holum's total, was still playing.
Although it was startling to see Nakano still playing, in a strange
way it was even more startling to see the young British phenomenon,
Julian Gardner, still playing, because his starting stack of $274,000
had crumbled in the early going, and had shrunk to 130k when Russell
Rosenblum made an error he isn't likely to forget anytime soon.
POCKET JACKS...WELL, WE PROBABLY WON'T SEE THEM AGAIN
With the blinds still small, Rosenblum held a hand he just wanted
to win the antes with, J-J, but Gardner called his raise. The flop
came 10-10-5, and Rosenblum bet 100k. Gardner, perhaps sensing a move
with a missed A-K, moved all-in for his remaining chips, a raise of
only $30,000.
Four days of intense World Series pressure can and will do strange
things to people. The moment Gardner moved in, Rosenblum grew agitated,
got up from the table, shouted about his bad luck, and told the dealer
to fold his hand. The dealer started to comply when Rosenblum came
to his senses and rushed back to the table and tried to grab the cards
back, while asking just how much of a raise Gardner's all-in bet had
been.
WHEN YOU DO SOMETHING UNFORGIVEABLE, YOU FORGIVE YOURSELF
It had been only 30k, but that didn't matter. Savage quite correctly
ruled that Rosenblum had verbally folded and that a verbal action
was binding. Now here's the special part. I've already told you Rosenblum
held pocket jacks. Gardner had moved in with pocket sixes. Rosenblum
was a 92% favorite to win the hand, and he'd folded a pot containing
more than $200,000 for $30,000. Barring a miracle, Gardner would have
been gone early, Rosenblum would have been much richer, and Rosenblum
wouldn't have had to try to recover emotionally from such a terrible
blunder. On any given Sunday, it would have been a terrible blunder.
On the fourth day of WSOP pressure (and the sleepless nights that
go with it), I think we should cut Rosenblum a little slack.
Giving away the ending a little at a time, Rosenblum may yet have
time to regret this error, because both he and Gardner made the final
table. Who knows: Gardner might hand Rosenblum a half million on an
error of his own, but I'd hate to be Rosenblum and see Gardner sitting
there. Scratch that. I wouldn't hate to be Rosenblum , because it
would mean I'd be sitting at the final table, Gardner or no Gardner.
Returning to the then-current action, the antes moved up to $1,000,
and the blinds $3,000-$6,000. Gardner had recovered to the extent
of sharing the chip lead, right near the half million mark, with Tony
D and Varkonyi.
I have the details on just about all the hands from here, but the
eliminations alone would make this story too long, so let's stick
with the high and low points.
A BIG CALL FOR NASSERI
Amir Nasseri, who had been one of the louder and more ribald characters
in the tournament throughout, made a big call on a flop of 2-3-4.
Nasseri held 2-6, bottom pair and a gutshot for a straight, when Rameen
Sai moved all-in for his last 60k on this flop. Sai turned out to
have A-10 and outs only to his ten, because if a five hit, Nasseri
would hold a bigger straight. Sai missed, exiting 30th,
and Nasseri started a climb that would eventually land him near the
chip lead.
We lost Samuel Whitt on the next big hand when Gardner made it 30k
to go, Martin DeKnijff moved all-in for his 90k, Whitt came for the
120k or so he had, and Gardner covered the 120k, allowing us to see
all three hands:
DeKnijff, 7-7
Whitt, K-K
Gardner, A-K
The flop came 7-4-10, pretty much locking up the main pot for DeKnijff,
a jack hit the turn, and an ace hit the river, turning the best starting
hand into the worst finishing hand. Gardner lost a little ground but
not too much because he did take the 60k side pot.
SILLY BOY, THINKING A-A COULD BEAT A-6
Phu went next, foolishly moving his small stack all-in with two red
aces, only to get called by Scott Gray, who turned over Ac-6d. Gray
is Irish, something 1999 third place finisher Padraig Parkinson kept
telling the world quite loudly later in the tournament, and he had
the luck of the Irish going for him here, because his Ac combined
with four clubs on the board to give him a flush. Gray's winning chances
here before the flop were a lowly 5.6%, but every dog has his day,
and today was the day for underdogs.
Phu's exit caused a redraw to three tables, a jump in the money from
$30,000 to $40,000, and a chance for players who didn't like their
seating position to gain new life, and vice versa.
In one of the tournament's more comical moments, Jack Fox thought
he had gone out 27th when he moved his last 13k in under
the gun, only to get called by the two blinds, who checked the hand
down as the board came A-10-2-9-K. One of Fox's opponents turned over
A-8, and Fox got up from the table, pumping his fist in frustration,
and with a look of pure disgust at this final indignity on a card-dead
day, Fox flipped over his K-10 and started to leave.
IT HELPS TO LOOK AT THE CARDS, JACK
Um, Jack, come back, you have two pair, he was informed. A red-faced
Fox returned, having forgotten, he said, that he'd held a king to
go with the ten he knew he had. He also had about 45k, and some onlookers
were surprised that Fox was surprised, because they'd interpreted
the fist pump as a gesture of power, rather than a punch Fox threw
at Fate. One can only imagine where Fox might have punched himself
if, when later reviewing a tape of the table, he'd remembered his
hand and had mucked it instead of turning it over in frustration.
It's a long four days, folks.
We lost a few more, and Bay 101 Shooting Stars winner Bernard Ko started
accumulating chips the way he'd acquired them in San Jose, with lots
and lots of raises. On one of them, he raised it to 20k, and Lord
Phillip Ivey, yes, the same Phil Ivey who had started the day in 37th
place thanks mainly to an horrendous beat he'd suffered the day before.
If you read yesterday's report, you saw that Ivey's flopped set of
threes went down in flames when Shipley caught running aces on fourth
and fifth streets to make quads. I mentioned in the report that Shipley
also could have won with a K-K or A-K finish, and a reader pointed
out that A-4 or 4-4 also would have done it, "reducing" the odds against
the horrible quarter million dollar pot defeat to a mere 50-1. When
it's a quarter million in the WSOP, a 50-1 bad beat is still horrible,
folks: don't lose the forest for the trees, or even for the Ivey.
Ivey re-raised all-in for about 55k more.
IT TOOK THREE BAD BEATS, BUT THEY PUT PHIL IVEY OUT OF THIS TOURNAMENT
Ko called, and turned over the Ac-3c. Ivey turned over the Ad-Qc.
The three-time bracelet winner had patiently waited for the right
moment: he was about a two and a half to one favorite. No problemo.
The doorcard was a three, the board finished 3-5-8-8-10, and the man
who probably just had the greatest WSOP in history (not in money won,
but in overall performance) was out 23rd.
There would be no record 4th bracelet in one Series for
Ivey (who, barring the bad beat would have had about 160k, still below
par but most definitely playable), and perhaps even more incredible
than this series of bad beats (we've all had those, just not for these
stakes), not a single one of the remaining 22 players had ever won
even ONE bracelet. Even though we had a few star players left, every
horse left in the running was on brand new turf.
One of the stars remaining was Dave Crunkleton, who has made the final
table of the Big One twice, and he had nearly a quarter million when
he decided to get them all into play against Don Barton while holding
A-J and looking at a flop of A-2-10. The only problem was that Barton
held A-K and doubled his 195k stack through Crunkleton.
Adding elimination to injury, Barton finished off Crunkleton on the
very next hand when he took A-4 offsuit up against Crunkleton's As-5s.
The flop hit them both hard, A-4-5, but Barton hit yet another four
on the river to end Crunkleton's run for a third final table.
ANOTHER SHOOTING STAR-WSOP COMBO?
The clock went off soon thereafter (we were playing two hour rounds,
as we had throughout the WSOP), and we moved to $1,000 antes and $4.000-$8,000
blinds. The Crunkleton-enriched Barton was the new chip leader with
almost 600k, while four players (Gray, Varkonyi, Gardner, and Ko)
all hovered near the 500k mark. It was an especially impressive move
for Ko, who had fallen as low as 17k at one point during the day,
and I started wondering if the Bay 101 Shooting Stars was going to
pull off back-to-back miracles, as 2001 Champ Carlos Mortensen had
won his seat for the Big One in 2001 by winning the Shooting Stars,
just as Ko had this year.
Another kind of clock struck for Jack Fox as we began the next round.
Forced to nurse a small stack through most of the day, he shoved his
remaining stack in when he found an actual hand, A-K, and got called
by Minh Ly, who had pocket eights. Fox is a wonderful human being
and poker player, but he has to work on his eyesight. The man who
had failed to notice his kings and tens started to celebrate when
the flop came A-8-9, his ecstasy in spotting that he had hit his ace
turning to agony when he finally noticed that Ly had flopped a set.
Fox exited a game (no pun intended) 21st.
OK, ONCE MORE, BUT NO MORE POCKET JACKS, I PROMISE
Maybe the story of this whole tournament should be called the Week
of the Jacksals. Pocket jacks played a key role numerous times in
setting the Final 45, and twice in the next 20 minutes Julian Gardner
picked them up at the same moment an opponent picked up two queens.
Nakano was the second opponent to lift the ladies at the same moment
Gardner found jacks, and the man who'd started 44th was
now approaching 200k. It couldn't happen...could it?
Nakano, one of the few well-known players left amongst the field of
relative unknowns, got a bit closer when Paul Wilsdon, who had survived
literally about eight all-in situations, finally couldn't survive
one when the still climbing Nasseri found two queens and Wilsdon couldn't
escape with A-J. With Wilsdon's exit, we had 19 players left, and
when Mike Fetter couldn't beat two queens with As-5s, we redrew for
two new tables.
The chip counts at this point were roughly:
Barton, 670k
D, 440k
Shipley, 550k
Perry, 345k
Nasseri, 550k
Varkonyi, 510k
Ko, 275k
Ly, 475k
Gardner, 540k
Neely, 300k
Mullin, 320k
Rosenblum, 200k
Nakano, 60k
Rubin, 150k
DeKnijff, 270k
Stockinger, 100k
Gray, 300k
Hall, 160k
"HEY, REF, SEND SHAPIRO IN FOR GLAZER"
The redraw took place just before the dinner break, but it wasn't
a dinner break for all. Phil Hellmuth and Johnny Chan finally found
a moment when each was available to play the championship of the Bracelet
Winners Tournament, and this was it. I headed downstairs to cover
that, and asked Max Shapiro to give me bare-bones highlights of whatever
happened when play resumed upstairs, in case the heads-up match outlasted
the 90-minute dinner break.
It wouldn't have, except it took the two champs a while to get started,
and no, I'm not revealing that winner here. Wait until the end like
a good reader. Meanwhile, courtesy of Max, I learned, when I returned,
that Russell had struck a mighty early blow at the new 2k ante, $6,000-$12,000
blind level.
Somehow, Max reported with his usual keen eye for detail ("Andy ‘paid
by the word' Glazer," eh, Shapiro? Never take shots at the guy who
has the last word, even if you are doing him a favor by keeping an
eye on the store), Rosenblum, Stockinger and Rubin all managed to
get their entire stacks in before the flop, with the hands
Rosenblum, A-J
Stockinger, K-K
Rubin, K-10
The board came 8-7-A-7-3, and Russell Rosenblum, who earlier had been
Russell the Merciful when he ignored the size of Gardner's all-in
raise, became Russell the Conqueror when he smote two with one blow.
Nakano doubled up when he found two queens (two kings had been dropping
like flies in this tournament, but queens were golden).
Ko, whose stock had been dropping fast as the dinner break approached
when players started playing back at his 30k and 40k raises, kept
losing small pots and then lost a big one when he bluffed at the wrong
time. Holding K-9, he got all his money in pre-flop against DeKnijff,
who held A-A, and Mr. Ko's Wild Ride, from 118k to 17k to 500k to
0k, ended in 16th place.
"REF! SEND SHAPIRO TO THE SHOWERS, KEEP HIM THERE UNTIL HE CLEANS
UP HIS ACT, AND GET GLAZER BACK IN!"
I returned from the Hellmuth-Chan match in time to see Gardner lose
120k to Varkonyi, who was inching his way back towards the lead at
600k, and then a rematch produced a similar result, and now Varkonyi,
who had conquered Hellmuth's Ah-Kh the day before with Qc-10c, was
starting to yard his way towards the lead rather than inch towards
it, and had about 700k.
Gardner continue to show no fear in mixing it up, and he took on Neely
and his remaining 99k with A-K. Neely, who had played fairly conservatively,
held the lead with pocket sevens, but an A-K-3-4-4 board sent him
out 15th.
Although Scarlett O'Hara (yes, Padraig, I'm sure she was Irish too)
pointed out that "tomorrow is another day," today was just not the
day for pocket kings. Tony D held them, only to be halted in his tracks
by a scary Kc-Qc-Jc flop, checked and called a Barton bet for 40k
on the flop, and then both players checked the rest of the way as
the board finished 10h-9c. Nope, no one had the 10c for a straight
flush. D's set of kings were rendered useless by the straight on board,
and Barton and his pocket threes had escaped with a split. The lack
of aggression was somewhat un-D-like, but if the flop wasn't scary
enough, the turn card, which would have given anyone holding an ace
a straight, did the job.
A GREAK CLIMB, BUT NAKANO CAN'T QUITE SCALE EVEREST
Finally, after a day long miraculous climb, Yosh Nakano ran out of
miracles, trying to take on A-10 with A-4 and failing, the bad start
growing worse when a ten hit the flop. Nakano actually picked up a
straight draw when the board developed into 10-8-2-3, but a jack on
the river left us with four to go.
Ralph Perry made a small raise to 35k, and DeKnijff decided to call
on the button. Oh, those flat calls. The flop came 6h-4s-3c, Perry
led out for 20k, DeKnijff raised 40k more, and in one of those "uh-oh,
this better be a bluff because otherwise I'm in big trouble" raises,
Perry raised back only 50k more. This relatively tiny raise virtually
demanded a call, given the size of the pot, but DeKnijff decided to
move all-in, and Perry called in some amount of time that could only
be measured in nanoseconds.
PERRY LEAVES DeKNIJFF AT SIXES AND SEVENS
DeKnijff flipped up the worst possible overpair: he was in trouble
if Perry had any kind of big pair, but he was in even more trouble
when Perry turned over a smaller one, two sixes for a set. The board
finished 2-3, and after we verified that DeKnijff had only 335k left
in front of him to Perry's 378k, DeKnijff was out, and Perry, once
we added in all the money that had already been in the center before
the final move in, was now the chip leader at more than 900k.
With the tables growing shorthanded, the button started coming around
faster, and that made at least some of the players want to start playing
faster to collect (six-handed) the 30k in dead money sitting there
every hand. Shipley tried to grab some with a raise of 110k, only
to see Mullin move all-in for a raise of about 100k. This was a curious
raise, because Shipley had a big stack, and he was going to be able
to take a shot at a big pot for only a 100k call.
He made it, and found out that he wasn't even trailing: Mullin had
picked a bad time to move with Kc-Jc, while Shipley had K-Q. Mullin
no doubt wished his hand was a little worse, Kc-10c lets say, because
the flop came 10-10-10. After a six hit the turn, a six, ace, or king
would have split the pot, and a jack would have given it to Mullin,
but the river was dry, and Mullin was 12th.
NOW the fun began. Nasseri had come back from the dinner break in
a more aggressive mode, no doubt anxious to take advantage of players
who were in "hang on" mode, but he got a little out of line when small
blind Varkonyi raised it to 40k, Nasseri raised 100k more, and then
had to lay it down when Varkonyi moved all-in.
The clock ran out and so did the players, which let me get a reasonably
accurate chip estimate:
Table One
Shipley, 900k
Gardner, 580k
Rosenblum, 560k
Varkonyi, 640k
Nasseri, 650k
(Average stack at table: 666k)
Table Two
Ly, 440k
Hall, 200k
Gray, 450k
Perry, 900k
D, 330k
Barton, 660k
(Average stack at table: 497k)
The antes moved up to 3k, and the blinds to $8,000-$16,000, and we
weren't five minutes into the new round when the world turned upside
down.
OH YEAH, WELL, TAKE THAT!
Nasseri opened a pot for a raise to 85k. Shipley, who would have had
to have been blind not to notice Nasseri's newfound aggressiveness,
raised back 140k more. That should have been the end of the hand for
Nasseri, because he was holding Jd-9d, but he decided to flat call
the huge bet.
Nasseri felt pretty good about the his "mistake" on the flop, because
it came Jc-3c-7c. Nasseri didn't have a club in his hand, but he did
have a jack, and he decided to use his stack as if it were a club,
moving all-in for a whopping 459k. He was putting Birmingham, England's
John Shipley to the test. I'll have to admit, I didn't think Nasseri
had a hand even as good as top pair: I read him for a stone cold missed
flop and a guy who was trying to bully his way into taking down what
had developed into a huge pot before the flop, nearly a half million
bucks.
Shipley thought for about a minute, and must have read about what
I did, because he finally decided to call with pocket eights...one
of which was a club. Nasseri was a 57-43 favorite, and that lead grew
larger when the turn card was the 7d. Shipley needed an eight or a
club, or Nasseri was the chip leader.
NASSERI CAN'T JOIN SHIPLEY'S PRIVATE CLUB
The Qc fell on the river, Nasseri was out, and John Shipley had about
1.6 million in chips, 1.4 of which had arrived along with the queen
of clubs.
Buzz-buzz-buzz, we were now hand-for-hand, with one "unlucky" player
fated to take home $70,000 cash but miss his shot at TV and the really
big money.
With Table One now a player short, they moved Barton and his big stack
in to Nasseri's seat, and it looked like we might get out final table
very quickly. Gardner raised it to a total of 46k from the small blind,
and Rosenblum, after thinking for a little while, moved all-in.
Gardner called like a shot and turned over As-Ks. Rosenblum turned
over that hand that kept shaping this tournament, J-J. If an ace or
king were to hit the board, we were done, but the Q-4-9-2-Q board
doubled Rosenblum through, and Gardner had 226k left after shipping
427k to a rather excited Rosenblum.
DUST THOSE TABLE TWO GUYS OFF, PLEASE
Over at Table Two, also know as the "Oh, are you guys playing also?"
table, short-stacked Harley Hall, who had just missed the final table
in the 3k no-limit event last week, bit his lip, realizing that had
Gardner hit that ace or king, he'd be at the final table. Now he was
going to have to hang on a while longer.
For a moment, it looked like that "while longer" was only going to
be just that, a moment, because on the very next hand, Barton raised
to 50k from the button, and Gardner instantly moved the rest of his
chips all-in from the small blind. Barton didn't hesitate for more
than a couple of nanoseconds himself before calling. A-Q offsuit for
Barton, and just the hand he and Hall wanted to see in Gardner's 23
year old hands, As-10s.
What Barton and Hall didn't want to see was the very first card off
the deck on the flop, a ten. Barton didn't even get any false hopes
from seeing a paint card fall, because the final board was 10-8-8-7-5.
Gardner was back in the hunt, and Barton was starting to see why Nasseri
hadn't liked his chair the last couple of hands.
Barton wasn't going to go out whimpering. He raised a pot a few hands
later to 50k, only to see Shipley, the 1.6 Million Dollar Man, raise
him back 100k more. Barton decided to flat call the bet. Meanwhile,
they called for maid service to wipe the dust off of the players and
chips at Table Two.
The flop came Jh-10d-8d, and Barton moved in. You've heard the expression
"he beat him into the pot." Shipley didn't. He just said "I call"
faster than an auctioneer, and I'd never been so sure I was going
to see a set of jacks in my life. I wasn't disappointed, but Barton
had outs: he held A-Q, so a nine would give him a straight, and there's
been this history of nines deciding big tournaments lately, especially
red ones.
Unfortunately for Barton, we weren't trying to decide the tournament,
just the final table, and when the board finished 6h-2h, we had our
final nine players for tomorrow:
Seat
|
Player
|
Chips
|
1
|
D, Tony
|
$231,000
|
2
|
Gardner, Julian
|
$394,000
|
3
|
Gray, Scott
|
$545,000
|
4
|
Perry, Ralph
|
$766,000
|
5
|
Ly, Minh
|
$614,000
|
6
|
Varkonyi, Robert
|
$640,000
|
7
|
Shipley, John
|
$2,033,000
|
8
|
Rosenblum, Russell
|
$927,000
|
9
|
Hall, Harley
|
$161,000
|
ANDY'S ANALYSIS
As I've indicated with my picks the last couple of days (I got four
out of nine today), I tend to be more impressed with playing ability
than stack size, and no, there is no correlation between that belief
and the place where all of you with dirty minds immediately went with
your metaphors. Although Gardner showed a chink or two in his youthful
armor towards the end of the day, I think he's one of the two best
players left. The problem is the Gardner and the other best player
left, D, own two of the shortest stacks, and while skill is more important
than size, as Godzilla would say, "size matters."
Shipley is a talented player, even though many observers were shocked
by his call with the pocket eights. For better or worse, I'd made
the same read he had, and he possesses one skill I consider very important
in no-limit, the willingness to go with one's read. When you combine
his skills with his chips, Shipley is the pick.
Rosenblum catches a break in that he gets position on Shipley, but
you just can't make mistakes like failing to notice you've only been
raised 30k in a 200k pot and expect to win the WSOP. He seems like
a genuinely nice young man, but I figure him for fifth or sixth place.
If D can double up early, he can win: the same can be said of Gardner,
Gray, Perry, and Ly. Hall has a lot of game, but I don't think he's
going to cut it loose and he will have to pick up a lot of hands to
get into it. Off of a relatively brief time watching him play, I just
don't see Varkonyi having what it takes, and even though Rosenblum
has all those chips, I think he's going to have to get awfully lucky
to win.
I think the final will be a lot of fun if D and Gardner can double
up: if they can find some chips, they can pull it off, although even
with a double up, even Gardner is a decided underdog to Shipley. The
turn of a card can change a lot, though: as T.J. Cloutier is fond
of saying, "That's why they play the game."
Two million bucks. Think about it.
Results thus far, No-Limit Hold'em Championship Event
10th-12th, $70,000 each: Don Barton, Amir Nasseri,
Owen Mullin.
13th-15th, $60,000 each: Martin Deknijff, Yosh
Nakano, James Neely.
16th-18th, $50,000 each: Bernard Ko, Sigi Stockinger,
David Rubin.
19th-27th, $40,000 each: Michael Fetter, Stephen
Wilsdon, Jack Fox, Dave Crunkleton, Phil Ivey, Minh Nguyen, Lamar
Wilkinson, Kurt Paseka, Dennis January.
28th-36th, $30,000 each: Luan Phu, Samuel Whitt,
Rameen Sai, Scott Amos, Steve Melton, Eric Holum, Ross Boatman, Randy
Holland, Tom Scheider.
37th-45th, $20,000 each: Hertzel Zalewski, Doug
Booth, Jason Lane, Brian Haveson, Greg Alston, David Sklansky, Dan
Heimiller, Tristan McDonald, Peter Giordino.
THE HELLMUTH-CHAN MATCH
I know I promised a story earlier, but it's now 7:25 a.m., there's
a long day ahead of me, and I want to do justice to the winner of
this event. If you want to wait for the story to learn the winner,
stop reading right here. If you want to know the winner now, and will
settle for the story tomorrow, scroll down a ways past the "Unpaid
political announcement."
UNPAID POLITICAL ANNOUNCEMENT
EDITOR'S NOTE: Although you can provide me with any and all kinds
of feedback about future WNP topics through the email addresses I
listed in the middle of this piece, you should also know that I am
finally starting to rev up my own website, www.casinoselfdefense.com,
and in the weeks that follow, will start publishing a series of instructional
columns there. If you like the sort of instruction you get in WNP,
you'll probably like to visit casinoselfdefense.com on a regular basis.
When that site was originally developed, it focused more on general
gambling than on poker, and indeed the book that you can purchase
there now, CASINO GAMBLING THE SMART WAY, is a general gaming book.
In the weeks that follow the WSOP, I plan to start making other recommended
poker books available there, so as an enticement, you'll start seeing
a new weekly poker article.
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